Freitag, 18. Juli 2008

CARL HUTERs KALLISOPHIE/SCHÖNHEIT/BEAUTY


ANTWORT VON FRAU LIESELOTTE EDER, PHYSIOGNOMISCHE GESELLSCHAFT SCHWEIZ, PGS, VOM 17. JULI 2008.
BEZUG: MAIL VON HERRN MEDICAL-MANAGER WOLFGANG TIMM AN PHYSIOGNOMISCHE GESELLSCHAFT SCHWEIZ, PGS, VOM 2. JULI 2008.


























The third graph shows another surprise those models never predicted: the seas have stopped rising.

The fourth graph seems to confirm a cooling. Forget media scares about a melting North Pole; sea ice has grown so fast in the southern hemisphere there is now nore ice in the world than is usual, says the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Graph five punctures another scare. No, global warming hasn´t given us more cyclones - or more tornadoes or hurricanes anywhere. Nor is their proof that cyclones are getting worse, says the American Meteorological Society.

And warming hasn´t stopped our rain, either, despite media hype about a "one-in-a-100 year drought". See the Bureau of Meteorology records in graph six. It´s just bad luck that the fickle rain now tends to fall where it´s not needes most.

He instead produced a graph - No. 7 - of past temperatures using all other accepted proxies.


You see his results (which for statistical reasons stop at 1935): they show humans lived through a medieval period that was warmer than even today. This was a period that historical accounts confirm was so warm that Greenland farmers grew crops on land now under snow, and British ones grew grapes.

But I repeat: the world may yet warm again, and soon, although scientists at Leibnitz Institute and Max Planck Institute last month predicted it won’t for at least another decade. If at all, say solar experts worried by a lack of sun spots.

But even if none of my graphs disproves the theory that man is causing dangerous warming, they should at least make you pause.

They should at least make you open to other theories of climate change, like that of Dr Henrik Svensmark, head of Denmark’s Centre for Sun-Climate Research, who thinks changes in cosmic rays, which affect clouds, may explain much of the recent warming. And now the cooling, too.

But, above all, when that man with the sandwich board comes tugging at your sleeve again, shouting, “Quick, help me save the world - or die”, hang on to your wallet, friend.

Give that urger my seven graphs instead, and ask him how many more years of no warming will it take before he admits it really is too soon to panic.